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Forecast Study on Medium and Long Term Energy Demand in Rural Area of China

Deng Keyun,He Liang

Strategic Study of CAE 2000, Volume 2, Issue 7,   Pages 16-21

Abstract:

Rural energy forecast belongs to the category of regional energy forecast.To forecast the demand of energy consumption in rural area of China will be useful for drawing out theexpected by the year of 2020 and 2050, there will be about 670 and 480 millions of pepole living in rural areaconsumption in village and town enterprises is not included in two schemes, the total energy demand in rural area

Keywords： rural energy     demand     forecast    

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Study on area forecast of coal and gas outburst based on coupling of neural network and genetic algorithm

Shi Shiliang,Wu Aiyou

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 9,   Pages 91-96

Abstract: Therefore,it is very important to advance coal industry healthy and continual in forecast the area ofinto some extremely local smallness and cause the unreasonable distribution of the weight value of the forecastindexes,ade the area forecast model of the coal and gas outburst was established based on coupling ofThe coupling forecast model was validated with the practical example.The study results has proved thevalidity of the model, and laid the foundation of the area forecast of the coal and gas outburst based

Keywords： coal and gas outburst     area forecast     neural network     genetic algorithm     isoneph of outburst    

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A rain-on-snow mixed flood forecast model and its application

Jian WU, Lan LI,

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2009, Volume 3, Issue 4,   Pages 440-444 doi: 10.1007/s11709-009-0051-0

Abstract: A rain-on-snow flood forecast model is developed by combining LL-Ⅰdistributed hydrology model.

Keywords： Xinjiang Autonomous     forecasting     hydrology     temperature     rain-on-snow runoff-generation    

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Forecast method for used number of parts and components based on complex network

LIU Fu-yun, QI Guo-ning, YANG Qing-hai

Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering 2006, Volume 1, Issue 4,   Pages 479-484 doi: 10.1007/s11465-006-0064-5

Abstract: A forecast method for the increment of component numbers and parts based on the increment of productsAs an example, the component numbers of an industrial steam turbine product family is forecasted, forecastresult verified and forecast error analyzed.

Keywords： complex network     industrial     component     analytic expression     forecast    

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Real-time Forecast of Irrigation

Mao Zhi,Li Yuanhua,Li Huichang

Strategic Study of CAE 2002, Volume 4, Issue 5,   Pages 24-33

Abstract:

The real-time forecast of irrigation is one of the essential part of the work for compiling a dynamicplays an important role in saving water, increasing crop yields and economic benefits in an irrigation areaThe methods and models for the conventional forecast of crop water requirement ,applied both in ChinaThey can not used for the real-time forecast.temperature, humidity, sunshine hour and wind speed,the leaves cover percentage is used instead of the leaves area

Keywords： irrigation     real-time forecast     evapotranspiration     irrigation schedule    

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A method to predict cooling load of large commercial buildings based on weather forecast and internal

Junbao JIA,Jincheng XING,Jihong LING,Ren PENG

Frontiers in Energy 2016, Volume 10, Issue 4,   Pages 459-465 doi: 10.1007/s11708-016-0424-8

Abstract: randomness, this paper presented an air-conditioning cooling load prediction method based on weather forecast

Keywords： commercial building     load prediction     multiple linear regression    

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Study of Forecast of Building Cost Based on Neural Network

Nie Guihua,Liu Pingfeng,He Liu

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 10,   Pages 56-59

Abstract: It shows the validity of the model in the forecast of construction project budget.

Keywords： BP neural network     building budget     forecast    

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Can floor-area-ratio incentive promote low impact development in a highly urbanized area?

Ming Cheng, Huapeng Qin, Kangmao He, Hongliang Xu

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2018, Volume 12, Issue 2, doi: 10.1007/s11783-017-1002-y

Abstract: Floor area ratio (FAR) refers to “the ratio of a building’s total floor area to the size of the piece

Keywords： Low impact development     Runoff reduction     Incentive     Floor area ratio     SUSTAIN(System for Urban Stormwater    

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A systems view of the earthquake forecast

Li Shihui

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 132-137

Abstract:

The focal point of this paper is to use the principle and method of systems sciences to prove that the standpoint of the mainstream earthquake scientists is unscientific and unreasonable, namely, the earthquake can't be forecasted essentially, and to prove the opposed standpoint is scientific and reasonable, namely, roughly estimate the range of time and location of the strong shock to a certain degree, and lead masses to know beforehand. To have limited space, this paper further proves the conclusion with only 2 examples only.

Keywords： earthquake forecast     earthquake prediction     complexity     systems sciences     complement each other of Chinese    

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The exploration of global tight sandstone gas and forecast of the development tendency in China

Yang Tao,Zhang Guosheng,Liang Kun,Zheng Min,Guo Bincheng

Strategic Study of CAE 2012, Volume 14, Issue 6,   Pages 64-68

Abstract:

The tight sand gas is becoming one of the most important domains in unconventional natural gas exploration & development in the world. Especially the large-scale exploration and utilization of American tight sandstone gas promotes the exploration & development in other countries.Based on a brief overview of global tight sandstone gas exploration & development，the paper carries out a systematic study on the exploration history, the exploration effect as well as the development tendency and proposals of China's tight sandstone gas. The result shows that the development process of China's tight gas development can be divided into three stages and is entering the fast-developing stage recently.In recent years, several large tight sandstone gas reservoirs are discovered in upper Palaeozoic of Ordos Basin, Xujiahe Formation of Sichuan Basin and deep formations of Kuqa, Tarim Basin. The reserve and production of tight sand gas have both experienced rapid growth. The production accounts for 1/5 of China's total nature gas production in 2011, and it is predicted to reach 1/3 in 2020, and at that time the tight sandstone gas would become the key role in natural gas industry.

Keywords： tight sandstone gas     exploration and development     development trend     production forecast    

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Technical Methods to Make Safety Monitoring and Forecast Models for the Foundation of Long Suspension

Chen Zhijian,Zhou Shizhong ,Zhuo Jiashou

Strategic Study of CAE 2002, Volume 4, Issue 6,   Pages 20-24

Abstract: comprehensive fuzzy evaluation model for slope safety based on external deformation observation results and the forecast

Keywords： layered rock mass     slope     monitoring and forecast model     technical methods    

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Forecast of fire accidents based on Grey-Markov model

Mao Zhanli,ZhuYi,Yang Bozhong,ZhuLei

Strategic Study of CAE 2010, Volume 12, Issue 1,   Pages 98-101

Abstract: The result shows the forecast precision of Grey-Markov model is higher than the forecast precision ofgrey model, the model can satisfy the demand in forecast precision, and it can be used for fire accidentsforecast.

Keywords： Grey model     Markov model     fire accidents     forecast    

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Supply and Demand Analysis, Future Demand Forecast, and Countermeasure Studies for Forage Materials in

Aimin Liu, Panna Jia, Lixin Wang, Liangjie Wu

Strategic Study of CAE 2018, Volume 20, Issue 5,   Pages 39-44 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.05.006

Abstract:

With improvement of the living standards, the domestic consumption and production of livestock products such as meat, poultry, eggs, and milk keep increasing, and thus the domestic demand for forage is raised. Based on the analysis of changes in the supply and demand of forage materials in China and the changes in the future demand for domestic livestock and poultry products, the future demand of forage materials is forecasted. The research results show that the gap of supply and demand of forage materials in China will continue expanding in the future, and for the safety of domestic forage supply, cultivation of silage corns should be appropriately expanded and the grass industry in agricultural areas should be developed. Additionally, agricultural resources should be fully and rationally utilized, and the cultivation of crops such as soybeans and rapeseeds should be appropriately expanded to improve the effective supply of domestic meals. Meanwhile, China should make full and reasonable use of overseas agricultural resources to ensure the safe supply of domestic forage materials.

Keywords： forage materials     supply and demand     forecast     countermeasures    

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Multi-discipline Forecast and Warning Engineering System on Sediment-related Disasters

Yao Xuexiang,Xu Jing

Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 6,   Pages 9-14

Abstract: regressive relationship between the disaster occurrence and rainfall, a meteorological-statistical potential forecastThe forecast has been launched into operation since June 1，2003，when a nationwide sediment-related disastersIn this paper the forecast and warning system is reviewed and some valuable suggestions are presented

Keywords： sediment-related disasters     debris flow     landslide     engineering system for forecast and warning    

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Analysis and Forecast of China’s Total Economy and Its Structure from 2016–2035

Li Ping,Lou Feng and Wang Hongwei

Strategic Study of CAE 2017, Volume 19, Issue 1,   Pages 13-20 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.003

Abstract: in the future and their transmission mechanism, in order to construct an economic system model and forecast

Keywords： economic forecast     economic growth     structural analysis     computable general equilibrium    

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Title Author Date Type Operation

Forecast Study on Medium and Long Term Energy Demand in Rural Area of China

Deng Keyun,He Liang

Journal Article

Study on area forecast of coal and gas outburst based on coupling of neural network and genetic algorithm

Shi Shiliang,Wu Aiyou

Journal Article

A rain-on-snow mixed flood forecast model and its application

Jian WU, Lan LI,

Journal Article

Forecast method for used number of parts and components based on complex network

LIU Fu-yun, QI Guo-ning, YANG Qing-hai

Journal Article

Real-time Forecast of Irrigation

Mao Zhi,Li Yuanhua,Li Huichang

Journal Article

A method to predict cooling load of large commercial buildings based on weather forecast and internal

Junbao JIA,Jincheng XING,Jihong LING,Ren PENG

Journal Article

Study of Forecast of Building Cost Based on Neural Network

Nie Guihua,Liu Pingfeng,He Liu

Journal Article

Can floor-area-ratio incentive promote low impact development in a highly urbanized area?

Ming Cheng, Huapeng Qin, Kangmao He, Hongliang Xu

Journal Article

A systems view of the earthquake forecast

Li Shihui

Journal Article

The exploration of global tight sandstone gas and forecast of the development tendency in China

Yang Tao,Zhang Guosheng,Liang Kun,Zheng Min,Guo Bincheng

Journal Article

Technical Methods to Make Safety Monitoring and Forecast Models for the Foundation of Long Suspension

Chen Zhijian,Zhou Shizhong ,Zhuo Jiashou

Journal Article

Forecast of fire accidents based on Grey-Markov model

Mao Zhanli,ZhuYi,Yang Bozhong,ZhuLei

Journal Article

Supply and Demand Analysis, Future Demand Forecast, and Countermeasure Studies for Forage Materials in

Aimin Liu, Panna Jia, Lixin Wang, Liangjie Wu

Journal Article

Multi-discipline Forecast and Warning Engineering System on Sediment-related Disasters

Yao Xuexiang,Xu Jing

Journal Article

Analysis and Forecast of China’s Total Economy and Its Structure from 2016–2035

Li Ping,Lou Feng and Wang Hongwei

Journal Article